Indian expert on Pakistan’s ongoing constitutional crisis: Imran Khan likely to lose

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Ongoing constitutional crisis in Pakistan is nothing new and has been observed several times in history. None of the administration so far has completed its 5 years of power in the nation, after freedom. According to the information, initial 10 years witnessed 7 Prime Ministers, one by one. Out of which, administration that served longest was of Liaquat Ali Khan’s for 4 years. And later he was killed in 1951. The present administration is going through a similar situation, where anytime Imran Khan (Current Prime Minister) can lose his chair. On Sunday, opposition party came with no confidence motion in Pakistan’s National Assembly to dissolve current ruling party. However, Assembly speaker Asad Qaiser ruled no confidence vote, calling it conspiracy of opposition and foreign powers.

Now opposition leaders have moved to supreme court and appealed to look into it. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Imran Khan has asked for conducting elections to decide result. He claimed that opposition party along with US has planned to unseat him because of him criticizing US policy and other decisions he has taken. He visited Russia at the time when America warned other countries to not support its invasion in Ukraine and also criticized America over ‘War on Terror’, previously. US has already denied the allegations whereas opposition called it baseless.

Shehbaz Sharif who is the current leaders of opposition party, Pakistan Muslim League is said to be a top name as a candidate for Prime Minister. Now, what it will be like for neighboring country India if Imran Khan no longer stays Prime Minister? According to political expert Gitanjali, it is an interesting situation. She said, ‘We are keeping an eye on what is happening in Pakistan. This is not unusual there. We have seen change of power in Pakistan, every two or four years. What is interesting is that how Imran Khan is trying to stay a little longer, settling his own member on the position instead of opposition.’ She further added and told ETA news, ‘For India nothing drastic will change. The relations are on rocks since 2016, when Pathankot Air Force Base was targeted by terrorists, then Uri attack deteriorated it and then in 2019 Pulwama attack worsened it. Jammu and Kashmir is also an unsettles issue between both the countries. So, there is no political tie between India and Pakistan. And coming of a new Prime Minister will not change anything until an agreement signed or a high-level meet gets conduct.’

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Pakistan although has expressed several times its desire to improve relations with India. Under its first National security policy in January, Pakistan indicated its wish to better relations with India and stated that a just and peaceful resolution of the Jammu and Kashmir dispute remains at the core of our bilateral relationship. In further addition it said, ‘rise of Hindutva -driven policies in India is deeply concerning and impacts Pakistan’s immediate security. The political exploitation of policy of belligerence towards Pakistan by India’s leadership has led to the threat of military adventurism and non-contact warfare to our immediate east’.

Appointed by opposition as soon to be new Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif is younger brother of former Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif. He was the Chief minister of Punjab, the most important political province for any administration. ‘This is very early to say whether it is beneficial for India to have Shehbaz Sharif as a new Pakistan’s Prime Minister, but as I mentioned earlier it all depends on what future situation will be’, said Gitanjali.

‘Seeing the barbarism and brutalities Modi is enforcing in Jammu and Kashmir, our blood boils, we will make Kashmir part of Pakistan’, Sharif said. Commenting on Sharif’s previous vow, expert Gitanjali said, ‘Jammu and Kashmir is a very sensitive and important issue for both the countries. But giving imbalanced and aggressive statements is hint of no fear of consequences. It is also a technique to gather votes by being vocal about popular topics but when an administration comes into power, one becomes sensible and careful’. Since India scrapped Article 370, Pakistan reached out many international platforms any criticized India’s decision. It tried gathering support but India firmly called it an internal matter without being accountable to any global platform.

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Meanwhile Pakistani Prime Minister has demanded re-election, opposition believes there are only two options left, either he resigns or through no confidence voting, his administration dissolves. And that Assembly speaker’s decision to block the voting is disloyal to country’s constitution. Gitanjali shared her opinion and said, ‘Looking at the situation, Imran Khan does not have much time to remain a Prime Minister, since elections are not likely to happen soon, and Assembly speaker’s decision will be rule out. Now what is to be look at is how long this situation will remain and who finally will become new Prime Minister of Pakistan’.

Amid recent crisis, Prime Minister Imran Khan nominated former CJP Gulzar Ahmed as caretaker PM. Who he is going to be Pakistan’s new Prime Minister is the news swirling everywhere with their constitutional crisis alongside.  

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Shefali Ranawat is an Eat News correspondent in India. She want to be the voice of people. Also, she aim to be a war correspondent.

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